Partner Briefing · October 2026
Systematic, AI-augmented trading across global markets.
One platform, every asset class, improving every second. Research produces a validated portfolio; the terminal runs it under hard risk controls and reports every day; the reports and the agents’ journals feed the next research cycle.
| Portfolio | Status | Markets | Strategies | Sharpe | OOS Sharpe | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Derivatives | Live | Hong Kong, US, Japan and Singapore index futures | 13 | 4.89 | 3.21 | −0.2% |
| Global FX | Paper | Eight currency futures — seven G10 currencies and the offshore yuan; first two systematic legs deployed | 2 | 3.37 | 1.85 | −0.0% |
| Global Commodities | Paper | Eleven micro contracts — metals, energy, grains and US Treasury notes; five class desks, first campaign running | 5 desks | — | — | — |
| China Derivatives | Paper | China index, metals, steel, energy, agriculture and pulp futures | 12 | 6.6 | 4.45 | −0.4% |
| China Equity | Paper | An A-share desk trading on paper; index enhancement, sector rotation and market-neutral baskets in research | A-share desk | — | — | — |
Sharpe, out-of-sample Sharpe and drawdown are backtest and validation statistics with the circuit breaker applied, not live results. The Global Commodities book and the A-share baskets carry no figures until their first validated deploy; their first research campaigns are running. Nineteen specialist agent desks manage positions inside the books.
01 · Markets, asset classes and venues
Venue- and asset-agnostic from day one.
Every centre below has strategies, contract specifications and a working feed and execution path today. Pin weight shows deployment status, not capital.
- Thirteen feeds, eleven execution gateways, one interface. A strategy never knows where it is routed.
- Multi-currency by construction. Every leg is converted to the book’s base through a live rate service.
- Two brokers execute the live book, each on its own fault-isolated order manager and its own reconciliation loop, with a per-strategy hot cut-over. The second broker’s data feed is validated bar for bar against the first; the Hong Kong legs now run on it, while the US, Japan and Singapore legs deliberately stay on the original. Every instrument has an independent second opinion.
- Venue assignment is live and cost-driven; dynamic routing is designed. A cost model, not a price hunt: fees plus our own measured slippage plus route health decide the venue. A venue outage raises an operator alert — we cut the automatic cross-broker hedge rather than flatten risk into a position pair nobody can see.
- Rolls are automated, inside per-exchange windows, with a calendar in the terminal.
- Currencies are a systematic asset class. Eight currency futures — seven G10 currencies on CME and the offshore yuan on HKEX — trade in a new paper book with its own agent desk, on a paper account isolated from the live book’s safety systems.
- Global commodities and US rates are a new paper book. Eleven CME Group micro contracts — gold, silver, copper, crude oil, natural gas, corn, soybeans, soybean oil and wheat — and the two- and five-year Treasury notes, on the same isolated paper account as the FX book, with history back to 2019 spliced from each contract’s full-size parent.
- China A-shares are one book: a specialist desk trades the index on paper while three basket policies are in research, on their own broker gateway and an execution-algorithm engine, with the exchange rules — T+1, board lots, price-limit bands, suspensions, stamp duty — held as configuration rather than code.
02 · Executive summary
The industrialised loop around strategies.
Seven years building one platform that researches, validates, deploys, executes and continuously rebuilds portfolios of systematic strategies — across every major asset class, in every market above.
What makes it different is not any single strategy. It is everything around the strategies.
| Capability | What we have | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Markets | 50+ futures roots across fourteen exchanges in Hong Kong, the US, Japan, Singapore, Korea and mainland China; eight currency futures — seven G10 currencies and the offshore yuan; eleven micro commodity and Treasury futures; China A-shares on Shanghai and Shenzhen, and US equities; crypto spot and perpetuals | Live, across two brokers · live-paper (China futures, FX, commodities, the A-share desk) · staged (A-share baskets) · built |
| Strategy engine | Graph / state-machine strategies assembled from a library of reusable property modules, thousands of typed pattern nodes, seven timeframes from one minute to weekly; cross-sectional basket strategies that run a whole index book as one strategy | Live · baskets staged |
| Research factory | Sequential and Bayesian property optimiser with thirteen scoring objectives; portfolio constructor; four independent validation gates plus purged cross-validation | Live, weekly on the research server of each cluster; commodities and A-share campaigns running |
| Research IDE | Browser IDE where the desk edits properties, runs optimisers, reviews candidates, promotes a portfolio and deploys it through one audited, reversible pipeline; one IDE serves several portfolios behind a portfolio switch, and the deploy pipeline carries the live book and both paper books under their own profiles | Live — the book is re-validated and redeployed whenever the evidence says so |
| Risk & controls | Broker-resting stop and target on every position, a portfolio circuit breaker that flattens the book, position reconciliation every fifteen minutes, backtest-vs-live divergence checks, per-user permissions with 2FA and device-signed mobile actions | Live |
| AI layer | An adversarial investment committee that sits before every market open as the macro-bias layer — nine sittings a weekday — and writes thirty-two views: per market, per China and global commodity class and per currency; nineteen specialist agent desks, one per asset class and book, managing positions inside the books under a mandatory stop on every order and the market type each one states, a switchable risk-profile ladder, an auditable memory store, a weekly portfolio review and a replay-gated improvement loop; two research agents driving the research pipeline | Live |
| Operations | Two clusters, self-healing watchdogs, an ops channel, an automated daily trading report, web and mobile trading terminals | Live |
| Engineering | ~685,000 lines of Python, 14,800+ automated tests, 129 design specs, 180 implementation plans; spec → plan → test-driven build discipline | Ongoing |
Five books run today: thirteen strategies live over Hong Kong, US, Japan and Singapore index futures, executed through two brokers; twelve in paper on China index, commodity and energy futures; and three new lines this autumn, all on paper — eight currency futures traded by their own desk and, since 17 October, by the first two systematic legs; eleven global commodity and Treasury micro futures traded by five class desks while their first campaign runs; and a China A-share desk on CSI 300 whose larger orders go through the algorithm engine, beside three basket policies still in research. Inside the books, nineteen specialist agent desks manage positions under hard deterministic limits.
We are seeking partners who want exposure to a repeatable process rather than a single strategy: the same pipeline that continuously re-validates and redeploys the live portfolio can absorb new markets, new capital and new signal sources without changing shape.
03 · Why this matters
Complexity, turned into routine.
Regimes shift, correlations break, venues fail and yesterday’s edge decays. Our answer is not a cleverer prediction. It is one process, run the same way every time, in every market.
Most systematic shops fail in one of three ways. We engineered against each.
Overfitting
A backtest that looks like 6.0 Sharpe and lives like 0.6.
Every candidate has to pass four statistically independent gates and a purged cross-validation at the portfolio level. On the latest research corpus only nineteen of 147 candidate cells passed. The pipeline is designed to say no.
Operational fragility
The strategy is fine, but a missed roll, a stale feed, a stop that never reached the broker or a manual deploy at 2 a.m. costs more than the alpha.
Production is a supervised fleet: every process has a watchdog, every position a broker-resting bracket, every live book a circuit breaker; the broker’s view of positions is reconciled with ours every fifteen minutes and a full trading report is generated and posted every night.
Stagnation
The first portfolio ships, then research and production drift apart and the book is never rebuilt.
Research and production share one code base, one data pipeline and one IDE. A candidate found on Saturday’s research run can be validated, promoted and deployed by Monday, with backups and a rollback path generated automatically.
Why partner with Etherius
- A process, not a bet. Every portfolio is validated by four independent gates and deployed with a rollback path — the same way, every time.
- Breadth on day one. Every major asset class across fourteen exchanges and eleven execution gateways; two brokers execute the live book side by side, a paper account at the second carries the FX and commodities books, a third broker carries the China futures book and a fourth the A-share desk. New markets are configuration: the FX book went from an approved design to a desk trading on paper in five days, the commodities book in one weekend.
- Risk engineered in. Broker-resting stops, a circuit breaker that actually flattens, reconciliation, divergence gates and a daily report nobody has to remember to write.
- AI where it helps, deterministic where it must be. Models modulate and manage; tested code executes.
- Transparent. Every decision, deploy and trade is journaled; partners get the same daily report the desk gets.
04 · Platform at a glance
One loop, four surfaces, one core.
Four surfaces, one core. Everything beneath the surfaces executes, risk-manages and reports the same way for every market and asset class.
Research
Optimisers sweep the property library and propose candidates.
Validate
Four independent gates and a purged cross-validation reject most of them.
Deploy
One audited, reversible pipeline puts the survivors into production.
Monitor
Brackets, circuit breaker, reconciliation, sync checks, a daily report.
Improve
Those reports and the agents’ journals open the next cycle.
Deployment topology
Two clusters, three boxes each, one terminal in front of both.
Design principles
- Config-driven, no hard-coded instrument logic. Adding a market is a config file, a contract specification and a feed connector — not a code fork.
- One code base for backtest, paper and live. The same strategy class runs in all three modes; only the header config changes.
- Deterministic core, swappable intelligence. Execution, risk and journaling are deterministic and unit-tested; models sit behind narrow contracts and can be replaced or switched off without touching the pipeline.
- Everything observable. Heartbeats, pattern-state exports, NAV logs, alerts, daily reports, and a browser terminal on desktop and phone.
05 · Strategy engine
Properties as state machines.
Every position the platform takes traces back through six layers, each a reusable, independently tested unit with a single job. Because the layers are separable, an improvement anywhere — a better indicator, a sharper property, one more validated strategy — lifts everything above it without a rewrite, and a weakness stays isolated to the layer that caused it.
- 6
Agent Trader
Manages the resulting book — stops, targets, resizing, blocking and flattening — bounded by a mandatory stop, hard caps and the circuit breaker rather than by an approval queue.
- 5
Portfolio
A validated composition of strategies, weighted by the constructor and clamped by a circuit breaker.
- 4
Strategies
State machines over typed nodes; a trace through the graph is a pattern, and a completed pattern is an order.
- 3
Properties
Reusable, independently scored signal primitives, each evaluated on one timeframe and typed — trend, mean-reversion, reversal, momentum, breakout, close, filter.
- 2
Indicators
The indicator engine computes a wide bank of engineered features per instrument across every timeframe.
- 1
Raw market data
Ticks, bars and quotes from brokers, exchanges and data vendors, on every timeframe from one minute to weekly.
06 · The research factory
A pipeline designed to say no.
Candidates enter on the left. Each gate is independent of the others, and a candidate is rejected by the first one it fails.
The most recent candidate matrix
147 cells, partitioned by outcome. A cell is rejected by the first gate it fails.
Latest research corpus, Global cluster. The deployed portfolio carries a backtest overfitting probability of 0.47 and passed four of four walk-forward windows.
Portfolio constructor
Seven weighting methods, a correlation cap between legs, and a search for out-of-sample performance subject to a full-sample floor. The same pass sets each candidate’s daily loss clamp.
Data plumbing that keeps research honest
- Two cache sets per market, refreshed weekly — one for testing, one for training.
- Sources are never mixed. Every dataset carries its origin.
- Hourly re-runs keep every candidate comparable to the live book.
- A splice that is reported, not hidden. The FX research history is a decade of spot bars joined to the futures’ own bars; volume-driven signals train on the futures era only, and every FX candidate shows how it behaved on each side of the join.
07 · Research IDE
From idea to production, with an audit trail.
Where the desk lives: run an optimisation, work the candidate queue, build a portfolio, test it against the live book, study the agents.
Promote → deploy → rollback
Promotion runs fourteen audited steps by itself — configuration, database rows, a pre-flight snapshot, file backups with a manifest, a sync check, a gated start, circuit-breaker arming from the live NAV, and an archive of every deployed file. One command undoes all of it. Since October 2026 the pipeline runs per book under a deploy profile: the FX book made its first real deploy through the same audited steps as the Global book on 17 October, and a third profile carries the Global Commodities book. A deploy to the research box that hosts both paper books starts with a full pre-deploy snapshot, so the same one-command rollback applies there too.
Latest compositions
| Portfolio | Strategies | Backtest Sharpe | Out-of-sample Sharpe | Max drawdown | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global — live | 13 | 4.89 | 3.21 | −0.2% | Selected on out-of-sample Sharpe and average daily P&L under the cap of three legs per instrument. A second Hang Seng leg was added in October — the first addition since September to pass the full rule, on a hold-out it had not seen |
| China — paper | 12 | 6.6 | 4.45 | −0.4% | Same build method; a hot-rolled-coil leg added in October; circuit breaker re-swept and re-armed. The crude-oil leg did not pass the deflated-Sharpe gate and trades at one lot, on watch |
| Global FX — paper | 2 | 3.37 | 1.85 | −0.0% | The first systematic composition: two offshore-yuan legs, the only combination that passed the selection rule, deployed to prove the path end to end; its circuit breaker is tracked, not yet armed |
Backtest and validation statistics as the research IDE reports them for the deployed composition, not live results; Sharpe and drawdown with the circuit breaker applied. The Global Commodities book and the A-share baskets have no deployed systematic composition yet.
The live book is re-tested against every new candidate on a rolling basis. It gets rebuilt when the evidence says so — not on a calendar.
08 · AI layer
From macro filter to autonomous trader.
8.1 The investment committee — the book argues with itself
A macro filter, not a signal generator. Before each market open the books trade — nine sittings every weekday — an adversarial committee argues over every market, and the verdict becomes a small machine-readable bias the strategies read on every bar.
- The cast. Regional analysts market by market; specialists on macro, rates, FX, commodities, agriculture, liquidity, sentiment, event risk and geopolitics; advocates over two rounds, a red team paid to attack the consensus, a risk agent, a cross-asset checker and a synthesiser — each able to run on a different model.
- What they see. 152 engineered indicators, the calendar with its event-risk windows, the regime state, the news flow in English and Chinese, and since October an FX tier of positioning, fixings, yields, policy rates and event feeds.
- What they produce. Per market: weights by signal type, a vote with conviction, and the agreement a signal must clear before it may act.
- A view on every currency. Each sitting now ends with a dedicated FX step that writes a bull/bear view, with conviction, on each of eight currencies against the dollar. A view is stored on the currency and flipped at read time where a contract is quoted the other way round; if the FX data is missing the step is skipped rather than guessed. A ninth sitting, an hour before the London open, was added for it.
- A view on every commodity class, at home and abroad. The main verdict also writes a stance on five global commodity classes — precious, base metals, energy, agriculture and rates — beside the seven China commodity groups, so a Shanghai gold desk and a COMEX gold desk read the same committee from their own side of the market. Each sitting now writes thirty-two views; a class left out is seeded from its reference contract’s day move, never invented.
- Fail-safe by construction. No bias file means no change; a stale file is dropped rather than trusted, so a silent upstream failure degrades to plain systematic behaviour. The layer can be switched off per instrument without touching a strategy. It was armed on every live leg in September 2026, and the same file is read by the agent desks.
- It has to earn its keep. A cycle is skipped rather than half-applied when calls fail, and every cycle is scored against what the market actually did.
8.2 Agent Trader — a model that runs a book, safely
The model writes a decision. Everything that turns it into an order is ordinary, tested code.
- A stop on every open, enforced by both the executor and the monitor, inside per-instrument, cluster and margin caps it cannot argue past.
- Paper to live is a file edit by a person. No button, API call or model output can promote an agent.
- It is told in advance what it may not do — and how often it proposes it anyway is measured and shown beside P&L.
- Memory is an auditable note store, not a growing prompt: the model proposes, a nightly pass writes lessons under evidence floors, operators pin instructions.
- Every Saturday it reviews its portfolio’s week, not just its own trades.
- Bound to a systematic book, each management action sits on its own shadow, approve or automatic rung, promoted one at a time by an operator and reversible the same way. Every operation began in shadow, journalling what it would have done without acting; as the record accumulated each was promoted, and as of September 2026 all of them run automatically. What bounds a desk is not an approval queue but the mandatory stop, the per-instrument, cluster and portfolio-wide caps, the margin ceiling and the circuit breaker.
- New rules ship switched off, evaluating and journaling what they would have done until the measurement justifies arming them.
- Profits on managed legs are protected. Once a leg has moved in its favour by a set multiple of the risk it was opened with, its desk trails the stop behind the best price — tighten only, budgeted per day, never a market close. Backtests do not see the trail, so that gap is measured live.
- The operator’s hand is respected. A hand close cancels the desk’s pending entries on that instrument and makes it stand aside; a model cycle already in flight cannot reopen the position. Only a losing stop-out starts a cooldown.
- Every desk names the market it trades — and is held to it. Per instrument it states trending up, trending down or ranging, beside a rule-based read of the same data. Code refuses an open against that statement, into a flat range or without a current call; exits are never checked. The operator can set a binding type for a few days, the managed legs follow it, and agent, rule and operator calls are each scored nightly.
- The operator’s view has a shelf life. A structured, expiring view — direction, conviction, horizon and levels — that every desk must answer each cycle and that is scored when it expires. It advises the model; it never gates the executor.
- Desks of the same class compare notes across exchanges. Each global commodity desk reads its China counterpart’s current view every cycle — COMEX gold beside Shanghai gold, NYMEX crude beside Shanghai crude, CBOT corn beside Dalian corn, US notes beside China’s treasury futures — and lessons that survive one desk’s review are copied to the other under caps.
The improvement loop — propose, replay, gate, promote
An agent improves the same way a strategy does: by beating the incumbent on evidence it could not have seen.
- One change at a time. A challenger differs from the champion in its prompt or in its memory setting — never both.
- Replayed on history, month by month, with incomplete windows marked unusable rather than scored.
- Only windows after the model’s own knowledge cut-off may decide. Everything earlier is directional evidence.
- To be promoted it must win most of those windows, earn a positive expectancy, not deepen drawdown, clear zero on a bootstrap interval, and not get sloppier. Promotion carries a cooldown and a one-action rollback.
8.3 The research agent — the loop that rebuilds the book
The desks manage risk inside a portfolio that already exists. The research agent runs the machinery that decides what the portfolio should be — one on each research box, at operator authority, doing everything a desk quant would do except the single act reserved for a person: promoting a portfolio into production.
- It keeps the search space honest. A signal library grows monotonically unless something prunes it; ours had grown roughly twentyfold from its original set, until a full optimiser sweep no longer fitted the cadence it was meant to run on. The agent holds the active pool to a compute budget, retiring on measured evidence in a fixed order — live results first, then optimiser results, then how often a signal is actually used.
- It sets the campaigns and runs them, instead of an operator hand-picking a scoring objective per strategy family.
- It measures live against backtest, leg by leg and signal by signal. Each leg is judged against its own live window rather than the full backtest curve — a decade of simulation against ninety days of trading measures the regime, not the strategy — and a leg with too few closed trades returns no verdict at all rather than a number computed from noise. Positions a human closed, and anything the circuit breaker flattened, are excluded from a strategy’s exit statistics: those were the operator’s decisions, not the model’s.
- It proposes against a stated objective, not a hand-picked construction method: candidates ranked on average daily P&L against the live book, among builds that beat the live book’s own out-of-sample result and stay inside its drawdown and margin envelope. A guard that cannot be evaluated counts as failed, never as passed.
- It proposes the capital ramp; a person approves it. The live book grows in steps tied to NAV milestones, each with its own construction recipe, from growth towards preservation. Every Saturday the agent checks the next step’s gates against the circuit breaker’s own daily NAV record and, on a pass, proposes a step built under the next recipe. Nothing switches a step on its own, in either direction, and a missing input reports the step blocked, never assumed. The book is in its first step today.
- Code it writes is reviewed before it can influence anything. Deterministic checks — static analysis, the known look-ahead traps, and a replay probe that truncates history to catch a module reading bars it should not see — plus a separate model reviewer. Both must pass, and the module then goes through the same promotion pipeline as a human-written one.
The desks may act on risk inside limits they cannot argue past; the research agent may change what gets traded only by convincing a person.
09 · The books today
Five books, one runbook.
Global book
Thirteen strategies over six instruments — mini HSCEI, mini Hang Seng, Micro Nasdaq-100, Micro S&P 500, Nikkei 225 mini and FTSE China A50 — executed through two brokers, with the Hong Kong legs at one and the rest at the other. Backtest Sharpe 4.89, out-of-sample 3.21, drawdown −0.2% with the circuit breaker. Rebuilt in September 2026 under a rule capping any one instrument at three legs, then extended by two US index legs and, in October, a second Hang Seng leg. The out-of-sample figure is a selection statistic, not a forecast.
The circuit breaker is armed: a daily loss limit set in absolute currency at arming and re-based on the live NAV. On breach the portfolio manager sends live market orders to flatten every position and blocks new opens until the next daily reset.
China futures book
Twelve legs across index, commodity and energy futures — CSI 500, CSI 300, SSE 50, corn, pulp, alumina, gold, two zinc legs, aluminium, crude oil and hot-rolled coil. Backtest Sharpe 6.6, out-of-sample 4.45, drawdown −0.4%; circuit breaker armed. The crude-oil leg did not pass the deflated-Sharpe gate and is on watch at one lot; the hot-rolled-coil leg added in October passed every gate.
Real market data, a hidden stop and target path inside the gateway, a daily order-manager reset and contract-roll awareness. China has exercised exactly the same runbook as Global from its first paper trade.
Global FX book
The micro euro, sterling, yen, Australian-dollar, Canadian-dollar and Swiss-franc futures and the New Zealand-dollar future on CME, and the mini offshore-yuan future in Hong Kong — each currency in its smallest contract, on a paper account isolated from the live book’s safety systems.
Its own agent desk has traded all eight since 5 October 2026: hourly cycles while the market is open, full cycles at the Tokyo, Hong Kong, London and New York opens, one lot each, every position closed before physical delivery. Since 17 October the book also carries its first two systematic legs, on the offshore-yuan future, deployed through the IDE’s FX profile; its circuit breaker is tracked and will be armed once a limit has been calibrated for it.
Global Commodities book
COMEX micro gold, silver and copper; NYMEX micro crude oil and natural gas; CBOT micro corn, soybeans, soybean oil and wheat; and the two- and five-year Treasury notes — each in its smallest contract, on the FX book’s isolated paper account, with history back to 2019 spliced from each full-size parent.
Five class desks — precious, base metals, energy, agriculture and rates — each paired with the China desk of the same class and each stating a market type per instrument; delivered contracts are closed before first notice. The first campaign, eleven roots on four-hour bars, is in the optimiser, and the circuit breaker is tracked and armed once calibrated.
China A-share book
One CSI 300 book whose basket strategies are its policies — index enhancement (a benchmark core plus bounded tilts), sector rotation across the ten CSI 300 sector indices, and a market-neutral long book hedged with index futures — with one capital allocation and one constructor across them.
Every order passes six pre-trade gates — eligibility, long-only, lots, T+1, limit band, suspension. A specialist desk has traded CSI 300 names on paper since 8 October, sending its larger orders to the algorithm engine as VWAP parents; the basket policies are still in research, the first campaign searching index enhancement.
Agent desks
Nineteen specialist desks — four on the Global book, one on the FX book, five on the commodities book, eight on the China futures book and one on the A-share book — each with its own mandate, risk profile and decision cycle. A desk that only trades metals can be held to a metals record.
Portfolio-wide caps on agent positions and total risk at stop bind across all desks, not per desk. Every desk runs the same machinery: its own memory store, the nightly consolidation, the Saturday portfolio review, hygiene measurement and replay on the research boxes.
The three new lines
All three run on the same core as the futures books — the same brackets, reconciliation, research gates and deploy pipeline. What is new is what sits in front of the core.
Gated go-live. A new leg starts only when the model is flat, holds no pending signal, and its sync check is green. A starter waits for that window and promotes it.
10 · Data Terminal
The macro cockpit.
The Data Terminal is where the outside world enters the decision flow. It gathers the macro, market, news and positioning data no single strategy looks at, turns it into a picture a person can read in a minute, and hands the same picture to the investment committee — whose verdict reaches the strategies and the agent desks as a small, machine-readable bias. Strategies never read the internet and desks never scrape a website.
What it gathers
- A fast tier, every minute — index levels, FX, ten-year yields and international commodity benchmarks for every market the firm follows.
- A slow tier — inflation, unemployment, growth, purchasing-manager indices and policy rates; official sources first, a second source only to fill a blank.
- The onshore China tape — every China commodity contract the books trade, beside its international counterpart and the premium between them.
- Sectors across six regions — China, US, Japan, Hong Kong, Europe and Korea on one sector spine, so a rotation reads as global or local at a glance.
- China liquidity, positioning and curves — funding rates, cross-border flows, margin balances, index-futures positioning and the rates curves.
- An FX tier — the pairs and the dollar index, two-year yields and policy rates, how leveraged funds are positioned against their three-year range, the gap between the yuan fixing and the market, and the slow drivers a currency desk watches: disaster and hurricane alerts, the El Niño cycle, European gas storage. Each source is dropped, never guessed, once it is past its age limit.
- Calendar and news — an impact-ranked calendar with actual against forecast, and news in English and Chinese, translated and tagged by a model for the markets — and the currencies — it touches.
What it produces
- The brief and the regime call — the drivers that matter and a regime label per region, refreshed with every committee sitting.
- A committee before every open — nine sittings each weekday, about half an hour before each market open in the live books, from the Tokyo morning through the London FX open to the Chicago evening re-open. Each produces a per-market stance, a stance per China commodity group and per global commodity class — shown side by side as one China | Global commodities block — a sector view and a view on each of eight currencies, with every role’s report archived.
- A bias that cannot strand a position — pushed to both clusters within minutes, clamped on arrival, ignored once stale, and applied to new entries only: exits, stops and targets never see it.
- A scorecard — every stance graded against the market’s next move, by market and by region, so the layer earns its weight.
- Alerts and Ask — regime changes and data surprises flagged, and questions answered from the terminal’s own data.
Isolated by design. A separate, read-only process on the research cluster with no write path into trading; a failed source keeps its last good value or shows a gap, never a guess; the only thing the trading side consumes is a bias file that is either fresh or ignored. On the web and as a mobile app, behind per-user grants and two-factor login.
11 · Risk management and controls
Controls at every layer.
12 · Operations and infrastructure
A supervised fleet.
Every process has a starter, a watchdog and somewhere to report.
- Two clusters, three boxes each — market data, trading, and research — laid out identically in both regions. The Global research box also hosts the two paper books, on their own market data, order manager and portfolio manager, so nothing paper shares a process with the live book.
- A broker gateway with no desktop behind it. The live book’s gateway runs headless and logs in with a passkey, re-authenticates itself on schedule, and is probed every minute for a session that has silently died or turned read-only — either is alerted and recovered automatically.
- Supervision. Per-minute watchdogs revive strategies, the circuit breaker, the agents and the feeds; the desk starts and stops any of it from the ops channel.
- Deploys. Every box runs a named commit on its own branch, promoted by a release tool that prints a restart plan, refuses a box carrying uncommitted changes and never restarts anything itself. The gate is a full test run compared against a recorded baseline. Nothing is copied to a production box by hand.
- One terminal, desktop and phone — positions and their stops, orders with algorithm progress, a watchlist with an FX tab, the risk panel, health and attribution, the roll calendar, the committee, the agents with their market-type and operator-view cards, and one view of every position across all five books with per-book return auto-close.
- A read-only research app for studying candidates and agents from a phone.
13 · Engineering discipline
How a small team ships this.
- Scale. ~685,000 lines of Python; more than 14,800 automated tests.
- Process. Every feature is a written spec, then a plan, then a test, then the code — 129 specs and 180 plans so far.
- The FX book as a worked example. One design approved on 30 September became seven plans — reference data and the paper venue, a decade of history, the Data Terminal’s FX tier, the committee’s currency views, the desk, the research campaign and the deploy pipeline — each built test-first, reviewed and rolled out by runbook. The desk was trading on paper five days later. The Global Commodities book repeated the pattern faster: one design on 17 October, seven plans for the book and two more for the class desks and the cross-exchange peer views, with four desks running by the end of that weekend and the grain desk trading the next Monday.
- AI-augmented engineering. An AI coding agent works as a full partner, with a persistent memory that carries operational lessons between sessions. It is how a small team ships this much.
- Safety rules are codified, not tribal. No manual intervention in a live book, no restart in live hours without approval, and no production change without a rollback path.
Appendix · Facts and figures
The platform in numbers.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Code base | ~2,905 Python files · ~685,000 lines |
| Tests | 14,833 tests collected in the main suite |
| Strategy library | 627 property modules · 213 tracemaps (187 typed) · 3,680 typed nodes · 254 strategy configurations |
| Design archive | 129 specs · 180 implementation plans · runbooks |
| Timeframes | 1m · 5m · 15m · 60m · 4h · daily · weekly |
| Feeds and gateways | 13 feed connectors · 11 execution gateways |
| Optimiser | 13 objectives · grid and Bayesian · dedicated research server |
| Validation | Hold-out · walk-forward · deflated Sharpe · permutation test · purged cross-validation |
| Latest gate matrix | 147 cells: 19 pass · 79 deflated-Sharpe reject · 35 cross-validation reject · 9 permutation reject · 5 empty |
| Global live portfolio | 13 strategies · Sharpe 4.89 · out-of-sample 3.21 · drawdown −0.2% · circuit breaker armed · two execution brokers |
| China paper portfolio | 12 legs · Sharpe 6.6 · out-of-sample 4.45 · drawdown −0.4% · circuit breaker armed |
| Global FX book | Paper · eight currency futures (seven G10 currencies on CME, the offshore yuan in Hong Kong) · FX desk trading since 5 October 2026 · first two systematic legs deployed 17 October, Sharpe 3.37, out-of-sample 1.85 · own deploy profile · breaker tracked, armed once calibrated |
| Global Commodities book | Paper · eleven micro contracts on COMEX, NYMEX and CBOT · history from 2019 spliced from the full-size parents · five class desks paired with their China peers · eleven research roots, campaign running · breaker tracked, armed once calibrated |
| China A-share book | One book on CSI 300 · an A-share desk trading on paper since 8 October, larger orders through the algorithm engine · three basket policies in research · six pre-trade gates |
| Agent desks | 19 specialist desks (4 Global, 1 FX, 5 commodities, 8 China futures, 1 A-share) + 2 research agents · deterministic package with 2,200+ dedicated tests · market-type gate, operator views, memory store, hygiene metrics, weekly portfolio review and switchable risk profiles on every desk |
| Investment committee | Nine pre-open sittings each weekday · 32 views per sitting: 12 markets, 7 China commodity groups, 5 global commodity classes, 8 currencies · 152 indicators · multi-provider · read by both the strategies and the desks |
| Smart Order Router | Live: static per-instrument venue assignment across two brokers. Designed: cost-model scoring, route-health failover. Cut by decision: automatic cross-broker synthetic close |
All Sharpe and drawdown figures are backtest or validation statistics computed on FX-converted NAV in the book’s base currency, with the circuit breaker applied where stated. Live performance records are available to qualified investors on request.
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Important disclosures and disclaimer
No offer or solicitation. This page has been prepared by Etherius Capital for informational and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, fund interest, managed account, financial instrument or investment advisory service in any jurisdiction. Any such offer, if made, would be made only by means of definitive documentation and only to persons eligible to receive it under applicable law.
Not investment advice. Nothing here constitutes investment, legal, tax or accounting advice. Recipients should make their own independent evaluation of the platform, strategies and risks described, and consult their own professional advisers.
Hypothetical, backtested and simulated performance. Unless expressly stated otherwise, all performance statistics on this page — including Sharpe ratios, drawdowns, out-of-sample and walk-forward figures, validation gate results and portfolio metrics — are derived from backtests, simulations or paper trading. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One limitation of hypothetical results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight; in addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading — for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses. Numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, including liquidity, slippage, commissions, financing costs, exchange and broker outages and regulatory changes, cannot be fully accounted for and may adversely affect actual results.
Past performance. Past performance, whether actual or simulated, is not indicative of future results. The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up, and investors may lose some or all of their capital.
Risk of futures, derivatives and digital-asset trading. Trading futures, options, FX, crypto-assets and other derivatives involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. The risk controls described here — stop-loss orders, circuit breakers, reconciliation, monitoring and other processes — are designed to reduce, not eliminate, risk; they may fail to operate as intended, may be subject to gaps, latency, broker or exchange failures, and cannot guarantee any limit on losses.
Illustrative screenshots. Screenshots on this page are taken from Etherius’s live systems. For privacy, the monetary figures displayed — including net asset values, profit and loss, ROI, Sharpe/drawdown, market values, margin and circuit-breaker amounts — are not real figures; they do not represent actual account balances, assets under management or results, and must not be read as a performance record. Prices, quantities, instrument-level percentages and order and position detail are system output at the time of capture.
Forward-looking statements. This page contains forward-looking statements, including planned capital ramps, planned venue integrations and expected system behaviour. Such statements reflect current intentions and assumptions, are subject to change without notice, and are not guarantees of future outcomes. Etherius undertakes no obligation to update them.
Artificial-intelligence components. Certain components described here rely on third-party large language models. Their outputs may be inaccurate, incomplete or inconsistent; Etherius constrains them through deterministic risk and execution layers but does not warrant their behaviour.
Accuracy and completeness. The information here is believed to be accurate as of the date shown but has not been independently verified, is subject to change, and may be incomplete or condensed. Etherius makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness and accepts no liability for any loss arising from its use.
Confidentiality and distribution. This page is provided to the recipient for their own evaluation and may not be reproduced, redistributed or disclosed, in whole or in part, without Etherius’s prior written consent. Its distribution may be restricted by law in certain jurisdictions; recipients are responsible for informing themselves of and observing any such restrictions.
Regulatory status. Etherius Capital operates as a proprietary trading firm. Nothing here should be taken as a statement that Etherius or any of its affiliates is licensed, registered or authorised to provide regulated investment services in any jurisdiction unless expressly stated in definitive documentation.